Lost Creek Market Report, November 2026: A Higher Median on Very Few Sales
Lost Creek's median sale price was about $1.7 million over the three months ending October 2026, down 4.1% year over year, with homes selling in a median 58 days at 95.8% of list price. Only four homes sold in October, so the figures are volatile.
Median about $1.7M, down 4.1%
Redfin's median for the three months ending October 2026 is lower than a year ago but higher than our last report.
Four sales in October
Four homes sold in October 2026 against two a year earlier, so single sales move every median.
Median 58 days on market
Homes sold in a median 58 days, compared with 287 days a year earlier.
Sale-to-list at 95.8%
Up 2.9 points year over year but below the 98.4% reported for the three months ending August.
Asking prices run high
About half of the 25 active listings on November 11, 2026 were priced above $3 million.
The headline: Lost Creek's numbers moved, but they rest on a handful of sales. Over the three months ending October 2026, Redfin reports a median sale price of about $1.7 million, down 4.1% from the same period a year earlier. Only four homes sold in October 2026, compared with two in October 2025.
How this fits last report. In September we reported a $1,349,107 median for the three months ending August, down 8.8% year over year, with homes selling faster and closer to asking. The year-over-year picture is still lower prices and quicker sales. What shifted is the level: the median is higher and sale-to-list is lower than in the June-to-August window. With so few closings, that change most likely reflects which homes sold rather than a change in Lost Creek values, so treat it with caution.
Days on market. The median home sold after 58 days, compared with 287 days a year earlier. The year-ago figure was set by very few sales, so the size of that drop says more about a small sample than about demand.
Sale-to-list. Homes sold at 95.8% of list price, up 2.9 percentage points from a year earlier but below the 98.4% we reported for the three months ending August. On average, sellers are still accepting less than asking.
What is on the market. On November 11, 2026, Redfin showed 25 houses, condos and townhouses for sale in Lost Creek, from $595,000 to $5,199,000. About half were asking more than $3 million, well above the recent median sale price. New construction is part of that supply: MileStone Community Builders is building 48 homes at The Overlook at Westlake, off Lost Creek Blvd.
If you are buying. A sale-to-list ratio below 96% and a wide gap between asking prices and recent sales leave room to negotiate, home by home.
If you are selling. Price against recent comparable Lost Creek sales, not against the asking prices of nearby listings or the wider 78746 median.
Working the west Austin market. Jonathan Creath is a Real Estate Advisor with Kuper Sotheby's International Realty and part of Creath Partners, the family business his father Garry Creath founded in 1971 and brought to Austin in 1989. Westlake is the first market area the practice names. Texas license #547237.
Lost Creek as of November 11, 2026
These figures are frozen at publication. The Lost Creek guide carries the current month's numbers.
Every number, and where it came from.
Lost Creek, three months ending October 2026: median sale price about $1.7M (down 4.1% YoY), median 58 days on market vs. 287 a year earlier, 95.8% sale-to-list (up 2.9 points YoY), 4 homes sold in October 2026 vs. 2 in October 2025.
redfin.com ↗25 active house, condo and townhouse listings on Redfin's Lost Creek page on November 11, 2026, priced from $595,000 to $5,199,000; 13 priced above $3 million.
redfin.com ↗Previous report (September 2026 cycle, retrieved September 28, 2026): three months ending August 2026, median sale price $1,349,107 (down 8.8% YoY) and 98.4% sale-to-list.
redfin.com ↗MileStone Community Builders is building The Overlook at Westlake, 48 homes on 37.25 acres at 1300 Lost Creek Blvd.
communityimpact.com ↗Lost Creek is a census-designated place in Travis County within Eanes ISD, annexed by Austin in December 2015 and disannexed in 2024 under HB 3053.
en.wikipedia.org ↗91.29% of Lost Creek voters approved disannexation from the City of Austin on May 4, 2024.
kut.org ↗Disannexation took effect September 9, 2024; a July 17, 2025 order barred the City of Austin from collecting 2025 and 2026 property taxes from Lost Creek owners.
austinfreepress.org ↗Eanes ISD adopted a 2026-27 total tax rate of $0.8254 per $100 of valuation on August 18, 2026.
communityimpact.com ↗West Lake Hills moved forward on April 22, 2026 with $360,000 for nine AI traffic signals along Bee Cave Road.
communityimpact.com ↗The 62nd annual Austin Trail of Lights runs December 10-23, 2026 at Zilker Park, with seven free nights and $8 adult general admission on paid nights.
austin.culturemap.com ↗
Redfin Lost Creek, TX housing market page (three months ending October 2026; homes sold compares October 2026 with October 2025), checked in a browser on November 11, 2026. The sample is very thin. Price distribution is the share of 25 active house, condo and townhouse listings on Redfin's Lost Creek page on November 11, 2026, lots excluded, counted by list price; it describes asking prices, not sales.
